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Foto: Adelheid Rutenburges

Foto: Adelheid Rutenburges

Economics
International Growth and Business Cycle Theory

Research

The Chair for International Growth and Business Cycle Theory aims for research at highest international level. The quality of our research is indicated by publications in high-ranked international journals or monographs. Our interest covers a variety of fields in modern economics. These fields include:

  •             dynamic macroeconomics and economic growth
  •             business cycle dynamics
  •             development economics
  •             economics of conflict
  •             international trade and international integration
  •             labor economics and human capital
  •             financial economics
  •             environmental and resource economics
  •             economics of migration

Google Scholar Citations

last up-date: 2019/05

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Publications - Journal Articles


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2019

Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth?

M. Fritz, T. Gries, Y. Feng, Economics Letters (2019), 181, pp. 47-50

DOI


A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea

T. Gries, The American Economist (2019)

DOI


Pirates – The Young and the Jobless: The Effect of Youth Bulges and Youth Labor Market Integration on Maritime Piracy

T. Gries, M. Redlin, Defence and Peace Economics (2019), 30(3), pp. 309-323

DOI


Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics

T. Gries, M. Fritz, F. Yuanhua, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (2019), 81(1), pp. 62-78

DOI


Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, T. Krieger, H. Meyer, German Economic Review (2019), 20(2), pp. 129-170

DOI


2018

Human-induced climate change: the impact of land-use change

T. Gries, M. Redlin, J.E. Ugarte, Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2018)

DOI


"Pay for It Heavily": Does U.S. Support for Israel Lead to Anti-American Terrorism?

T. Gries, D. Meierrieks, Defence and Peace Economics (2018)

DOI


Fertility and Modernization: The Role of Urbanization in Developing Countries

T. Gries, R. Grundmann, Journal of International Development (2018), 30(3), pp. 493-506

DOI


2017

Technology diffusion, international integration and participation in developing economies - a review of major concepts and findings

T. Gries, R. Grundmann, I. Palnau, M. Redlin, International Economics and Economic Policy (2017), 15(1), pp. 215-253

DOI


Innovations, growth and participation in advanced economies - a review of major concepts and findings

T. Gries, R. Grundmann, I. Palnau, M. Redlin, International Economics and Economic Policy (2017), 14(2), pp. 293-351

DOI


Slow Booms and Deep Busts: 160 Years of Business Cycles in Spain

T. Gries, M. Fritz, Y. Feng, Review of Economics (2017), 68 (2), pp. 153-166

DOI


2016

Towards an Economic Theory of Destabilization War

T. Gries, C. Haake, Peace Economics and Peace Science (2016), 22(4), pp. 377-384

DOI


The Entrepreneurship Beveridge Curve

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, W. Naudé, International Journal of Economic Theory (2016), 12(2), pp. 151-165

DOI


Explaining inter-provincial migration in China

T. Gries, M.. Kraft, M. Simon, Papers in Regional Science (2016), 4(95), pp. 709-731

DOI


2015

Changes of China’s agri-food exports to Germany caused by its accession to WTO and the 2008 financial crisis

T. Gries, Y. Feng, Z. Guo, China Agricultural Economic Review (2015), 7(2), pp. 262-279

DOI


Sustaining Civil Peace: a configurational comparative analysis

T. Gries, I. Palnau, Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy (2015), 21( 4), pp. 467 -478

DOI


Oppressive Governments, Dependence on the United States and Anti-American Terrorism

T. Gries, D. Meierrieks, M. Redlin, Oxford Economic Papers (2015), 67(1), pp. 83 - 103

DOI


Playing the Lottery or Dressing Up? A Model of Firm-Level Heterogeneity and the Decision to Export

T. Gries, W. Naudé, N. Bilkic, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (2015), 58, pp. 1-17

DOI


2014

Household Savings and Productive Capital Formation in Rural Vietnam: Insurance vs. Social Network

T. Gries, H.V. Dung, Modern Economy (2014), 5, pp. 878-894

DOI


A Crook is a Crook … But is He Still a Crook Abroad? On the Effect of Immigration on Destination-Country Corruption

E. Dimant, T. Krieger, M. Redlin, German Economic Review (2014), 16(4), pp. 464-489

DOI


Trade and fertility in the developing world: the impact of trade and trade structure

T. Gries, R. Grundmann, Journal of Population Economics (2014), 27(4), pp. 1165-1186

DOI


2013

Unsustainable Sovereign Debt - Is the Euro Crisis only the Tip of the Iceberg?

T. Gries, N. Bilkic, B. Carerras Painter, International Economics and Economic Policy (2013), 10(1), pp. 1 - 45

DOI


Global Asymmetries and their Implications for Climate and Industrial Policies, in: Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century - New Challenges and Emerging Paradigms

T. Gries, Oxford University Press (2013), ch. 11, pp. 293-323

DOI


Do banking crises cause terrorism?

T. Gries, D. Meierrieks, Economics Letters (2013), 119(3), pp. 321-324

DOI


Causality Between Terrorism and Economic Growth

T. Gries, D. Meierrieks, Journal of Peace Research (2013), 50(1), pp. 91 - 104

DOI


2012

Stay in school or start working?- The human capital investment decision under uncertainty and irreversibility

T. Gries, N.. Bilkic, M. Pilichowski, Labour Economics (2012), 19(5), pp. 706 - 717

DOI


Economic performance and terrorist activity in Latin America

T. Gries, D. Meierrieks, Defence and Peace Economics (2012), 23(5), pp. 447 - 470

DOI


A Tax Paradox for Investment Decisions under Uncertainty

T. Gries, U. Prior, C. Sureth, Journal of Public Economics Theory (2012), 14(3), pp. 521 - 545

DOI


2011

Causal Linkages Between Domestic Terrorism and Economic Growth

T. Gries, T. Krieger, D. Meierrieks, Defence and Peace Economics (2011), 22(5), pp. 493 - 508

DOI


SME performance in transition economies: The financial regulation and firm level corruption nexus

T. Gries, A. Wieneke, Journal of Comparative Economics (2011), 39(2), pp. 221 - 229

DOI


Entrepreneurship and human development - A capability approach

T. Gries, W. Naudé, Journal of Public Economics (2011), 95(3-4), pp. 216 - 224

DOI


Income Determination and Income Discrimination in Shenzhen

T. Gries, S. Gravemeyer, J. Xue, Urban Studies (2011), 48(7), pp. 1457-1475

DOI


International integration and the determinants of regional development in China

T. Gries, M. Redlin, Economic Change and Restructuring (2011), 44(1-2), pp. 149-177

DOI


Financial Deepening, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

T. Gries, M. Kraft, D. Meierrieks, Applied Economics (2011), 43(30), pp. 4729 - 4739

DOI


Interregional Migration, Self-selection and the Returns to Education in Brazil

T. Gries, M. Kraft, C. Piek, The Annals of Regional Science (2011), 46(3), pp. 707-732

DOI


Entrepreneurship, Structural Change and a Global Economic Crisis

T. Gries, W. Naudé, Entrepreneurship Research Journal (2011), 1(3)

DOI


2010

Entrepreneurship and Structural Economic Transformation

T. Gries, W. Naudé, Small Business Economics (2010), 34(1), pp. 13 - 29

DOI


2009

China's provincial disparities and the determinants of provincial inequality

T. Gries, M. Redlin, Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies (2009), 7(2), pp. 259-281

DOI


Explaining Regional Export Performance in a Developing Country: The Role of Geography and Relative Factor Endowments

T. Gries, W. Naudé, Regional Studies (2009), 43(7), pp. 967-979

DOI


Linkages between Financial Deepening, Trade Openness and Economic Development: Causality Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

T. Gries, M. Kraft, D. Meierrieks, World Development (2009), 37(12), pp. 1849-1860

DOI


The Optimal Distance to Port for Exporting Firms

T. Gries, W. Naudé, Journal of Regional Science (2009), 49(3), pp. 513-528

DOI


Entrepreneurship and regional economic growth: towards a general theory of start-ups

T. Gries, W. Naudé, Innovation: The European Journal of Social Science Research (2009), 22(3), pp. 309-328

DOI


2008

Regional Determinants of Entrepreneurial Start-Ups in a Developing Country

T. Gries, W. Naudé, E. Wood, A. Meintjes, Entrepreneurship & Regional Development (2008), 20(2), pp. 111-124

DOI


Trade and Endogenous Formation of Regions in a Developing Country

T. Gries, W. Naudé, Review of Developing Economics (2008), 12(2), pp. 248-275

DOI


2007

Employment Effects of International Factor Mobility - A Theoretical Approach with Heterogenous Labor

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, Journal of Economic Integration (2007), 22(2), pp. 339-368

DOI


2005

Endogenous Formation of Regions in Developing Countries

T. Gries, Journal of Development Perspective (2005), 1(1), pp. 29-62


2004

International Spill-Over of Technologies and Regional Agglomeration and Development

T. Gries, Science Research Management (2004), 25, pp. 145 -151


Interbank market frictions, international banks and growth

T. Gries, G. Sievert, A. Wieneke, International Economics and Economic Policy (2004), 1, pp. 157-171

DOI


Anreizkompatibilität als zentrales Element eines neu gestalteten Gesundheitsmarktes

T. Gries, D. Langeleh, Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik (2004), 5(3), pp. 293-311

DOI


2002

Catching‐Up, Falling Behind and the Role of FDI:A Model of Endogenous Growth and Development

T. Gries, South African Journal of Economics (2002), 70(4), pp. 273-281

DOI


2001

Soziales Marktmodell Europa versus liberales Marktmodell Amerika – gibt es Sieger beim Wettbewerb der Marktwirtschaften?

T. Gries, Wirtschaftsdienst 8/2001 (2001)


1999

Die US amerikanische Dienstleistungsgesellschaft – ein Modell für Deutschland

T. Gries, A. Birk, Wirtschaftsdienst (1999)


Foreign Direct Investments in the Process of Transition

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, H. Meyer, International Advances in Economic Research (1999), 5


1997

Catching-up and Structural Change

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, Economia Internationale (1997), 50(4), pp. 3-24


Amerikanisches Job-Wunder versus deutsches Produktivitätswunder: Ein Vergleich der Arbeitsmarktstrategien

T. Gries, A. Birk, Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007) (1997), 77(2), pp. 99-106


1994

Endogenous Growth and R&D Models - A Critical Appraisal of Recent Developments

T. Gries, C. Hentschel, B. Wigger, Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik (1994), 213/1, pp. 64-84


1993

The Dynamics of Upgrading or how to catch-up

T. Gries, B. Wigger, Economia Internationale (1993), 46(4), pp. 3-13


1990

Wechselkurstheorie und internationale monetäre Transmissionen

T. Gries, Jahrbuch für Sozialwissenschaften (1990), 41(1), pp. 3-41


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Publications - Working Papers, Reports, Monographs


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2015



2014


Low Carbon Economics - Theory and application

T. Gries, in: Low Carbon Economics , 2014, pp. 361 - 382


Maritime Piracy: Socio-Economic, Political, and Institutional Determinants

T. Gries, M. Redlin, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2014



2013

A crook is a crook ... but is he still a crook abroad? On the effect of immigration on destination-country corruption

E. Dimant, T.. Krieger, M. Redlin, Wilfried-Guth-Stiftungsprofessur für Ordnungs- und Wettbewerbspolitik, Universität Freiburg, 2013



2012

Poverty in Shenzhen

T. Gries, J. Xue, in: Rising China in the Changing World Economy, 2012, pp. 396 - 412


2011

Trade Openness and Economic Growth: A Panel Causality Analysis

T. Gries, M. Redlin, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2011, pp. 24


Internationale Umweltpolitik bei akkumulierender und asymmetrischer Verschmutzungsdynamik

T. Gries, in: Zukunftsfähige Wirtschaftspolitik für Deutschland und Europa, Springer, 2011, pp. 215 - 246


2010

Short-run and Long-run Dynamics of Growth,Inequality and Poverty in the Developing World

T. Gries, M. Redlin, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2010, pp. 21


2008

China’s provincial disparities and the determinants of provincial inequality

T. Gries, M. Redlin, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2008, pp. 45


International integration and regional development in China

T. Gries, M. Redlin, WIDER Research Papers, United Nations University (UNU), 2008, pp. 37


2007

Educational Disparity and Income Inequality in Urban China

T. Gries, J. Xue, in: The Economic Science, 2007, pp. 101 -116


Global Shift – The European Union, the United States, and the Emergence of China

T. Gries, in: 50 Years of EU Economic Dynamics, Springer, 2007, pp. 25-45


2005


On Global Economic Growth and the Prospects for Africa to Catch Up

T. Gries, W. Naudé, in: Multinational Enterprises, Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in Africa: South African Perspectives, Physica-Verlag, 2005, pp. 7-36


Employment Effects of Foreign Direct Investments - A Theoretical Analysis with Heterogenous Labour

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, in: Multinational Enterprises, Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in Africa: South-African Perspectives, Physica-Verlag, 2005, pp. 229 - 245


Rent a Bureaucrat

T. Gries, G. Sievert, A. Wieneke, in: Finanzwissenschaft im Wandel, Peter Lang Verlagsgruppe, 2005


2004

Obstacles Facing German Enterprises in South Africa

B.M. Gilroy, T. Gries, W.A. Naudé, K. Schmidt, in: Multinational Enterprises, Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in Africa: South African Perspectives, 2004, pp. 197-208


2003

Neue Wachstums- und Innovationspolitik in Europa

T. Gries, A. Jungmittag, P.J. Welfens, Physica-Verlag, 2003


1999

Globalization, Economic Growth and Innovation Dynamics

T. Gries, J. Addison, D. Audretsch, H. Grupp, P. Welfens, Springer-Verlag, 1999


1998


The Impacts of Information Technologies on Innovation Dynamics and Labor Demand

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, in: Economic Aspects of Digital Information Technology, DUV, 1998


The Dynamics of Growth and Employment in a Two-Sector Model of Job Matching

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, in: Operations Research Proceedings 1997, Springer, 1998, pp. 241-246


Information Technologies, Endogenous Human Capital Depreciation and Unemployment

T. Gries, H. Meyer, in: Economic Aspects of Digital Information Technology, DUV, 1998



1997

Catching-up of Economies in Transformation

T. Gries, S. Jungblut, in: Banking, International Capital Flows and Growth in Europe, Springer-Verlag, 1997, pp. 297 - 311


1996

A Dynamic Model of a Reconstruction Economy

T. Gries, in: Modelling and Analysing Economies in Transition, 1996


Repetitorium Mikroökonomik

T. Gries, G. Sieg, H. Strulik, Springer-Verlag, 1996


1995

Neue regionale Wachstumstheorie und Humankapital als regionaler charakteristischer Faktor

T. Gries, in: Standort und Region, Neue Ansätze zur Regionalökonomik, Mohr (Siebeck), 1995



1989


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Conference Presentations

June 14-15, 2013, Stockholm, Sweden: 17thAnnual International Conference on Economics & Security, Thomas Gries: When to Attack the Oppressive Government?

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June 21 2013, Paderborn, Germany: Oikos Hochschultag, Thomas Gries: Definition des Nachhaltigkeitsbegriffs aus ökonomischer Perspektive

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July, 22-27, 2013, Paris, France: 13th Annual SAET Conference, Thomas Gries: Theory of Entrepreneurship in Fragile States

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September 09-12, 2012, Göttingen, Germany: Verein für Sozialpolitik, Daniel Meierrieks: Great Expectations and Hard Times The (Nontrivial) Impact of Education on Domestic Terrorism

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Februar 27-29, 2012, Duisburg, Germany: 5th RGS Doctoral Conference in Economics, Daniel Meierrieks: Forces of Good and Evil : Globalization , U.S. Economic and Politico -Military Power, and Anti -American Terrorism

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Natasa Bilkic, 2012: Miami, Florida (USA), SECOND WORLD CONGRESS OF THE PUBLIC CHOICE SOCIETY, March 8-11, 2012, topic: When to Attack an Oppressive Government?

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Thomas Gries, 2012: Miami, Florida (USA), SECOND WORLD CONGRESS OF THE PUBLIC CHOICE SOCIETY, March 8-11, 2012, topic: Project Evaluation with Large Uncertainties and Disasters.

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June 18-19, 2012, Gothenburg, Sweden: 11th Nordic Conference in Development Economics, Rainer Grundmann: Trade and Fertility in Developing Countries.

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Daniel Meierrieks, 2012: Berlin (Deutschland), DIW Berlin- Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference, June 25-27, 2012, topic: Forces of Good and Evil: Globalization, U.S. Economic, Cultural and Politico – Military Power, and Anti- U.S. Terrorism.

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Februar 27-29, 2012, Duisburg, Germany: 5th RGS Doctoral Conference in Economics, Rainer Grundmann: Trade and Fertility: The Impact of Exports and Export Structures

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Daniel Meierrieks, 2012: Miami, Florida (USA), SECOND WORLD CONGRESS OF THE PUBLIC CHOICE SOCIETY, March 8-11, 2012, topic:Forces of Good and Evil: U.S. Economic and Politico-Military Power, Globalization, and Anti-American Terrorism.

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July 03-11, 2012, Melbourne, Australia: Australasia Meeting of the Econometric Society 2012 (ESAM 2012), Natasa Bilkic: When to Attack an Oppressive Government?

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August 27-31, 2012, Málaga, Spain: European Economic Association & Econometric Society in Malaga, Natasa Bilkic: When to Attack an Oppressive Government?

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Rainer Grundmann, 2012: University of Washington, Seattle, USA, International Conferences "China and the World Economy" and "The Global Economy", March 16 - 18, 2012. Topic: Trade and Fertility: Effects of Exports and Export Structure.

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Margarete Redlin, 2012: University of Washington, Seattle, USA, International Conferences "China and the World Economy" and "The Global Economy", March 16 - 18, 2012. Topic: Trade Openness and Economic Growth, A Panel Causality Analysis.

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